India and the U.S.: From 2005 Optimism to 2025 Realism

Syllabus: Bilateral, regional and global groupings and agreements involving India and/or affecting India’s interests.

Background: The 2005 Moment

  • In 2005, India–U.S. relations stood at the cusp of a historic strategic transformation.
  • The U.S. explicitly stated its intent to help India become a major world power.
  • This reflected American confidence that strengthening rising powers would stabilise global order.
  • The belief underpinned the civil nuclear agreement and a partnership based on shared optimism.
  • Strategic engagement rested on mutual confidence and expansive internationalist thinking.

Shift Reflected in 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy

  • The 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy (NSS) adopts a self-congratulatory and defensive tone.
  • It projects America as recovering from catastrophe, signalling deep internal insecurity.
  • Strategy appears focused on domestic reassurance rather than global leadership vision.
  • Global leadership is portrayed as a burden rather than a responsibility to be embraced.

From Partnership to Burden-Sharing

  • The U.S. now declares it will no longer “prop up” the global order.
  • Leadership is framed as a cost to be minimised, not a shared global good.
  • The emphasis shifts from system-building to lightening America’s strategic load.
  • This marks a retreat from the internationalist confidence evident in 2005.

Changing U.S. Approach towards India

  • India is acknowledged, but primarily as part of U.S. China-balancing strategy.
  • Cooperation is presented as instrumental, not civilisational or transformative.
  • India is viewed as a contributor to Indo-Pacific security via the Quad.
  • India’s rise is no longer an objective but a means to U.S. balance-of-power goals.

Strategic Autonomy: Then and Now

  • In 2005, U.S. discomfort existed with India’s emphasis on strategic autonomy.
  • In 2025, America itself asserts expansive unilateral autonomy, labelling it realism.
  • The “Trump Corollary” signals inward turn and hemispheric exclusivity.
  • This exposes an irony in shifting American attitudes towards autonomy.

Implications for India

  • The U.S. now demands more from partners while offering less strategic investment.
  • Shared interests persist, but shared responsibilities are shrinking.
  • U.S. support is increasingly conditional and limited.
  • India’s rise can no longer depend on external strategic sponsorship.

The Path Forward for India

  • India must recognise the changed foundations of bilateral cooperation.
  • Strategic confidence and material capacity must drive India’s global role.
  • The era of widening U.S. horizons has ended; India’s responsibilities are expanding.
  • India must craft an independent role suited to its scale, interests, and civilisation.
  • The aspiration of 2005 endures, but its realisation rests solely with India.

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