16th Finance Commission: Devolution Trends and Federal Fiscal Balance

Syllabus: Devolution of powers and finances up to local levels and challenges therein.

Context

  • The 16th Finance Commission, chaired by Dr. Arvind Panagariya, submitted its report for 2026–31.
  • The Union government has accepted its tax devolution recommendations.

Constitutional Framework of Tax Devolution

  • Article 270 governs distribution of net tax proceeds between Centre and States.
  • Shared taxes include corporation tax, income tax, CGST, and Centre’s IGST share.
  • Distribution is based on Finance Commission recommendations under Article 280.
  • Cess and surcharge are excluded from the divisible pool.
  • Divisible pool forms about 81% of gross tax revenue (2025–26).

Evolution of Vertical Devolution

  • Till the 13th Finance Commission, States received 32% share in Central taxes.
  • Transfers were tied to Centrally Sponsored Schemes with conditionalities.
  • The 14th Finance Commission raised devolution to 42%, ending tied transfers.
  • The 15th Finance Commission reduced it to 41% after J&K reorganisation.

Horizontal Devolution Criteria

  • Distribution among States uses equity, need, and efficiency indicators.
  • Higher weightage given to income distance, population, and area.
  • Efficiency factors include forests, demographic performance, and tax effort.

Demands Raised by States

  • Vertical Devolution
    • Eighteen States demanded increase from 41% to 50%.
    • Some suggested 45–48% share.
    • Many sought inclusion of cess and surcharge in the divisible pool.
    • Some proposed capping Centre’s cess and surcharge levy.
  • Horizontal Devolution
    • Several States supported dominance of equity-based criteria.
    • Many wanted reduced weight for income distance.
    • Industrialised States sought inclusion of GDP contribution.

Key Recommendations of 16th FC

  • Retained States’ vertical share at 41%.
  • Cited Union needs for defence and infrastructure spending.
  • Noted Union spending under CSS ultimately benefits States.
  • Rejected capping or pooling of cess and surcharge.

New Horizontal Devolution Approach

  • Added State contribution to GDP as a new efficiency criterion.
  • Ensured gradual changes without drastic share redistribution.
  • Southern and western States saw marginal share increase.
  • Northern and central States witnessed marginal decline.

Additional Fiscal Observations

  • Centre should reduce reliance on cess and surcharge.
  • States must rationalise subsidies and power sector finances.
  • Both levels should pursue public sector enterprise reforms.

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