Budget 2026–27 and Sustaining Growth Momentum

Syllabus: Indian Economy and issues relating to planning, mobilization of resources, growth, development and employment

Background and Economic Context

  • India demonstrated economic resilience despite global headwinds and proposed 50% United States tariffs.
  • Government reforms treated as a continuous national mission, reinforcing policy stability and investor confidence.
  • Budget 2026–27 expected to strengthen domestic growth levers through capital expenditure and social sector support.
  • Fiscal strategy should maintain fiscal consolidation glide path while containing medium-term public debt risks.

Defence, Exports and Strategic Manufacturing

  • Defence capital outlay share proposed to increase from 26.4% to 30% of total defence expenditure.
  • DRDO allocation recommended to rise by at least ₹10,000 crore for indigenous research expansion.
  • Defence industrial corridors in Uttar Pradesh and Tamil Nadu improved defence production and indigenisation.
  • Proposal for an eastern India defence industrial corridor to broaden regional industrial participation.
  • Private sector contributed nearly 65% of defence exports in 2024–25, enhancing global market presence.
  • Creation of a Defence Export Promotion Council suggested for inter-ministerial and international coordination.
  • Defence exports target set at ₹50,000 crore by 2028–29, requiring institutional and financial facilitation.

Critical Minerals, Trade and Technology

  • Rising demand for critical minerals driven by clean energy, semiconductors, and strategic technologies.
  • National Critical Mineral Mission 2025 provides a strategic framework for securing essential raw materials.
  • Proposal for a tailings recovery programme under NCMM with dedicated government financing.
  • RoDTEP allocation of approximately ₹18,233 crore suggested to increase for export competitiveness.
  • Clarification of Transfer Pricing guidelines needed for Global Capability Centres operating across sectors.
  • Drone sector support proposed through expanded PLI outlay from ₹120 crore to ₹1,000 crore.
  • Establishment of a ₹1,000 crore drone research and development fund to enhance global competitiveness.

Finance, Tax Administration and Customs Reforms

  • Deepening corporate bond markets recommended to diversify finance beyond banking institutions.
  • Insurance investment cap proposed to rise beyond 25% to widen long-term capital participation.
  • Revision of Approved Investment rating threshold from AA to AA- to expand issuer inclusion.
  • Provident funds allowed to invest in InvITs and REITs debentures for infrastructure financing.
  • Around 40% vacancies at CIT(A) level identified as contributing to tax dispute pendency.
  • Introduction of a dual-track dispute resolution system for simple and complex tax appeals.
  • AEO certification eligibility suggested for new companies under accredited corporate groups.
  • Continued reduction of customs tariff slabs to address inverted duties and improve manufacturing competitiveness.

Conclusion

  • Budget 2026–27 should integrate fiscal prudence, structural reforms, and private investment mobilisation.
  • Policy certainty and institutional strengthening can enhance global competitiveness and domestic growth sustainability.

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