Union Budget 2026–27: Fiscal Prudence

Budget Philosophy and Policy Orientation

  • Budget 2026 prioritises prudence over disruption, avoiding major Big Bang economic announcements.
  • The approach relies on multiple sector-specific measures to drive medium-term economic momentum.
  • Diffused policymaking is preferred due to heightened geoeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties.
  • The Budget targets manufacturing, services, and labour-intensive sectors like textiles and leather.

Manufacturing and Strategic Sector Focus

  • Manufacturing support spans seven priority areas: biopharma, semiconductors, electronics, rare earths, chemicals, capital goods, textiles.
  • India Semiconductor Mission 2.0 builds upon earlier gains from existing Production Linked Incentive schemes.
  • Electronics Component Manufacturing Scheme allocation increase aims to strengthen global competitiveness.
  • Biopharma SHAKTI receives ₹10,000 crore over five years to develop a global biopharma hub.
  • Pharmaceutical exports benefit from exemption from recent U.S. tariff measures.

MSMEs, Exports, and Services Sector Measures

  • Champion MSMEs initiative offers equity, liquidity, and professional support for export competitiveness.
  • MSMEs contribute 48.6% of India’s total exports, highlighting their strategic importance.
  • The EU Free Trade Agreement timeline may not immediately offset impacts of U.S. trade restrictions.
  • A high-powered Education to Employment and Enterprise Committee targets services sector skill pathways.
  • Healthcare and medical tourism receive targeted policy attention due to emerging global strengths.

Regional Development and Infrastructure Push

  • Dedicated rare earth corridors benefit Odisha, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh, and Tamil Nadu.
  • Coconut Promotion Scheme supports Kerala’s agricultural and livelihood ecosystem.
  • East Coast Industrial Corridor enhances industrial connectivity in West Bengal.
  • First new national waterway project begins in Odisha, boosting logistics efficiency.

Fiscal Strategy and Revenue Management

  • Capital expenditure rises to ₹12.2 lakh crore, around 4.4% of GDP, highest in a decade.
  • Focus includes freight corridors, training institutes, and coastal cargo promotion initiatives.
  • Direct tax reliefs are limited to protect fiscal stability amid rising expenditure commitments.
  • Corporate tax revenue is projected to increase nearly 14% over 2025-26 estimates.
  • Fiscal deficit is targeted at 4.3% of GDP, continuing the consolidation trajectory.

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