Great Nicobar Port Development

Syllabus: Distribution of key natural resources across the world (including South Asia and the Indian sub-continent); factors responsible for the location of primary, secondary, and tertiary sector industries in various parts of the world (including India)

Project Rationale

  • Proponents’ Argument
    • Port at Galathea Bay will position India as regional maritime security and economic growth hub.
    • Strategic Vision: Reduce dependence on foreign ports (Colombo, Singapore) for transshipment; capture regional container trade share.
    • Proponents dismiss threats to indigenous communities and ecological collapse as exaggerated.
  • Critical Assessment: Project’s advantages overstated while structural flaws and environmental costs deliberately downplayed.

Issues With the Project

  • Structural Limitations
    • Flawed Assumption: Creating port capacity doesn’t automatically attract traffic; Vallarpadam Port (Kerala) example demonstrates this.
    • Transshipment hubs need network connectivity, feeder links, cargo base, carrier loyalty beyond infrastructure.
    • Galathea Bay lacks urban centre, industrial zone, logistics base; every container must be shipped in-out.
    • Missing Feeder Services: No existing feeder services unlike Colombo’s dense short-haul routes linking South Asia, East Africa, Southeast Asia.
    • Subsidy Dependency: Creating a network would require massive subsidies and long-term state support, lacking commercial credibility.
  • Geographical Handicap
    • Remote Location: 1,200 kilometers from Indian mainland; too remote for cost-effective feeder operations.
    • High Operating Costs: Containers, provisions, personnel, fuel must be shipped in raising operational expenses significantly.
    • Shipping Schedule Disruption: Carriers unlikely to revise schedules for such isolated location affecting commercial viability.
    • Unrealistic Targets: Colombo manages fewer than 8 million TEU yearly; Nicobar aims doubling without committed shipping lines.
  • Commercial Viability Challenges
    • Carrier Commitment Issue: Shipping lines reluctant disrupting entrenched trade networks at Colombo, Singapore with operational rebates.
    • Cost Disadvantage: Indian terminals levy significantly higher port-calling and handling costs despite heavy infrastructure investment.
    • Krishnapatnam Example: Full container services withdrawal (2024), strategic shift to bulk-cargo illustrates cost structure impact.
    • Network Integration: Cost structures and established networks continue shaping shipping line decisions over new terminals.

Strategic Justification Questioned

  • Military Presence: INS Baaz existing naval facility already supports surveillance operations in eastern Indian Ocean.
  • Unclear Necessity: Why commercial port needed for military mission when Chinese navy hasn’t frontally challenged Indian interests.
  • Transparency Concern: Strategic objectives should be pursued transparently, not disguised as commercial development projects.

Maritime Arc Integration Myth

  • Maritime Arc to be created by involving Vizhinjam (Kerala), Vadhavan (Maharashtra) and Galathea Bay
  • But all the three operate in fundamentally different commercial realities.
  • Vizhinjam Advantage: Proximity to international shipping lanes may draw transshipment traffic from Colombo with efficiency.
  • Vadhavan Independence: Has own commercial logic; could thrive independently without Nicobar connection.
  • Galathea Isolation: Geographically isolated, cut off from industrial corridors, lacks organic cargo base undermining hub potential.

Logistical Ecosystem Requirement

  • Viable Ecosystem: Terminal without logistics ecosystem faces steep odds regardless of infrastructure quality.
  • Mainland Comparison: Galathea Bay cannot replicate mainland port performance due to inherent geographical and logistical disadvantages.

Conclusion

  • Ambition Without Realism: Ambition divorced from economic and logistical realities isn’t recipe for success.
  • Cautionary Lesson: World-class port with few takers yields neither influence nor development; misplaced ambition example.
  • Viability Question: At stake is port’s ecological, commercial viability and whether economic, strategic transformation claims grounded in reality.

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