India–Africa Economic Relations: Strategic Pillars for a 2030 Vision

Syllabus: Bilateral, regional and global groupings and agreements involving India and/or affecting India’s interests.

Background and Context

  • India–Africa relations have witnessed renewed momentum over the last decade.
  • High-level political visits in 2025 reaffirmed Africa’s rising strategic and economic importance.
  • Africa’s inclusion as a permanent G20 member (2023) strengthened Global South representation.
  • Economic cooperation has emerged as a central pillar, beyond historical cultural and political ties.

Rationale for Deepening Economic Engagement

  • Nearly 40% of India’s exports are directed to the U.S. and European Union.
  • Heavy dependence on Western markets exposes India to external economic slowdowns.
  • Diversification towards Africa is crucial amid uncertainty in advanced economies.
  • Africa offers high growth potential, expanding consumer markets, and industrialisation prospects.

Current Trade and Investment Landscape

  • India is Africa’s fourth-largest trading partner, with trade nearing $100 billion.
  • In FY24, India exported goods worth $38.17 billion to African countries.
  • Major destinations include Nigeria, South Africa, and Tanzania.
  • Key exports comprise petroleum products, engineering goods, pharmaceuticals, rice, textiles.
  • Africa sourced nearly 6% of total imports from India in 2024.
  • China dominates African trade with over $200 billion bilateral volume.
  • Around 21% of Africa’s imports originated from China in 2024.
  • A significant share falls under HSN 84 and 85, reflecting China’s industrial capacity.

India’s Trade Ambition with Africa

  • India aims to double bilateral trade with Africa by 2030.
  • Achieving this requires a strategic shift beyond commodity-led exports.

Five Strategic Pillars for Expansion

  • Trade Agreements and Market Access
    • Prioritise preferential trade agreements and comprehensive partnerships with African blocs.
    • Engage regional groupings to reduce tariff and non-tariff barriers.
  • Manufacturing and Value Addition
    • Shift from low-value exports to value-added manufacturing and joint ventures.
    • Utilise African incentives to establish local manufacturing facilities.
    • African manufacturing ensures preferential U.S. market access and regional integration.
    • Engagement with AfCFTA can unlock continent-wide market opportunities.
  • MSME Integration and Trade Finance
    • African markets provide better entry opportunities for Indian MSMEs.
    • Expand Lines of Credit and improve trade finance accessibility.
    • Promote local currency trade and joint insurance mechanisms to mitigate risks.
  • Logistics and Connectivity
    • Reduce trade costs through investment in ports, hinterland connectivity, maritime corridors.
    • Efficient logistics are vital for competitive and sustained trade growth.
  • Services, Digital Trade, and People-to-People Links
    • Leverage strengths in IT, healthcare, professional services, skill development.
    • Services exports stimulate goods trade and deepen economic interdependence.
    • Existing policies inadequately support services trade, requiring significant improvement.
  • Role of Indian Public Sector and Investment
    • Strengthen investments in manufacturing, agro-processing, infrastructure, renewables, mining.
    • Public sector enterprises must lead investments, especially in mineral exploration.
    • Address barriers including bureaucratic hurdles, political instability, and financing constraints.

Conclusion

  • India–Africa ties must evolve from transactional trade to long-term partnerships.
  • Africa remains central to India’s global economic ambitions in a multipolar order.
  • Strategic recalibration and deeper integration are timely and necessary.

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