Implications of U.S. Withdrawal on International Solar Alliance

Syllabus: Bilateral, regional and global groupings and agreements involving India and/or affecting India’s interests

Background and Formation of the ISA

  • International Solar Alliance was established in 2015 to promote affordable solar adoption in developing countries.
  • The Alliance is headquartered in India and jointly led by India and France.
  • It focuses on mobilising finance, reducing investor risks, and accelerating deployment, not building plants directly.
  • The ISA has over 120 member countries, spanning Africa, Asia, and island nations.
  • The United States joined in 2021 and contributed approximately $2.1 million over three years.

U.S. Withdrawal and Institutional Impact

  • On January 7, the U.S. announced withdrawal from 66 international organisations, including the ISA.
  • U.S. funding accounted for only about 1% of total ISA resources.
  • Indian officials confirmed continuity of programmes, training, and capacity-building activities.
  • The exit primarily affects confidence and perception, not the Alliance’s operational finances.

Implications for India’s Solar Manufacturing

  • India’s solar power costs remain stable as the country does not rely on U.S. equipment supplies.
  • By late 2025, India’s solar module manufacturing capacity reached approximately 144 gigawatts.
  • Solar cell manufacturing stood near 25 gigawatts, with rapid expansion across the supply chain.
  • China dominates global production with 70% of cell manufacturing capacity worldwide.
  • India imported $1.7 billion worth of photovoltaic modules from China in FY25, as per MNRE data.

Investment and Employment Effects

  • Domestic solar projects are driven by long-term power contracts and rising electricity demand.
  • Funding largely comes from Indian banks, global funds, and development institutions, not the U.S.
  • Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, installation, and operations within India.
  • Expanding domestic production helps protect jobs from international climate policy shifts.

External Risks and Global South Impact

  • ISA activities in Africa and poorer developing countries depend on concessional finance and cooperation.
  • Reduced U.S. engagement may make international lenders cautious and delay project approvals.
  • Slower overseas solar growth could affect Indian firms expanding into emerging markets.

Strategic and Diplomatic Dimensions

  • ISA remains a key instrument of India’s climate diplomacy and Global South leadership.
  • U.S. exit removes an influential partner but does not alter India’s leadership role.
  • India faces greater responsibility in sustaining international confidence and financing flows.

Outlook

  • India’s domestic solar sector remains cost-stable, investment-secure, and employment-resilient.
  • The broader challenge lies in a fragmented global climate cooperation environment.

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