States Capital Expenditure: Trends & Outlook

Context and Fiscal Background

  • After the Union Budget, policy focus shifts toward the fiscal health of States.States play a crucial role in sustaining India’s overall growth momentum.
  • During April–January FY2025, States’ revenue receipts increased by 18%
  • Actual revenues exceeded budget estimates, reflecting stronger fiscal performance. 
  • However, fiscal performance varied significantly across individual States.

Revenue Trends and Structural Drivers

  • GST collections grew by 23%, surpassing the budgeted 22% growth.
  • Improved compliance and expanding economic activity strengthened GST buoyancy.
  • Lower GST rates and income tax rationalisation reduced potential revenue mobilisation.
  • Strong revenue mobilisation offset lower devolution of excess Integrated GST funds.
  • Stamp duty and registration revenues grew modestly at 11–13% annually.

Capital Expenditure Performance

  • States’ capital expenditure increased by 7.7% during April–January FY2025. This growth remains significantly below the budgeted 22% expansion target.
  • However, capital spending surged by 25.7% in the third quarter. Thus the moderating revenue growth nudged States to slow revenue expenditure expansion.
  • Sustained public capital investment remains essential for long-term economic growth.

Centre–State Fiscal Transfers

  • Central grants to States were budgeted at ₹13.9 trillion this fiscal year. This amount was lower than previous actual transfers of ₹14.2 trillion.
  • During April–November, Central grants declined by 18% year-on-year. States projected nearly 60% grant growth in the remaining months.
  • Fiscal transfers significantly influence States’ developmental and infrastructure spending capacity.

Outlook and Growth Implications

  • Moderating revenue growth may encourage States to restrain overall expenditure.
  • However, sustained capital expenditure can crowd-in private investment effectively.
  • The Centre’s 50-year interest-free capex loans support infrastructure development.
  • Of the ₹1.5 trillion allocation, ₹1 trillion was disbursed by January 2025.
  • Continued capital expenditure expansion can strengthen India’s macroeconomic stability.

About Capital Expenditure

  • Meaning and Concept
    • Capital Expenditure (CapEx) refers to spending on long-term productive assets. These assets provide economic benefits over several financial years.
    • Such assets are not meant for sale but enhance productive capacity.
    • Capital expenditure supports long-term development and increases earning potential.
    • It is recorded as an asset and reduced gradually through depreciation.
  • Key Features and Examples
    • Capital expenditure creates assets that are not consumed within one year.
    • It generally increases the capacity, efficiency, or life of assets.
    • Examples include constructing buildings, highways, and public infrastructure.
    • Purchasing machinery, land, vehicles, or upgrading technology are common instances.
    • Such spending strengthens institutional and economic growth foundations.
  • Significance of Capital Expenditure
    • Capital expenditure promotes long-term economic growth and development.
    • It enhances productivity by improving infrastructure and technological capability.
    • Infrastructure investment generates employment and stimulates private investment.
    • Improved public services enhance citizens’ overall quality of life.
    • Higher public CapEx can create a positive multiplier effect in the economy.

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