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World Bank Poverty Brief: India’s Extreme Poverty Falls to 2.6%

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World Bank Poverty Brief: India’s Extreme Poverty Falls to 2.6%

The World Bank’s October 2026 Poverty and Equity Brief says extreme poverty fell from 27.1% in 2011 to 2.6% in 2023, but poverty is now concentrated in a few regions
EXTREME POVERTY, 2023
2.6% (27.1% in 2011)
BELOW $4.20 LINE, 2023
16.1% (57.7% in 2011)
GINI INDEX, 2023
23.0
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Why in News

The World Bank’s October 2026 Poverty and Equity Brief for India says extreme poverty fell from 27.1% in 2011 to 2.6% in 2023, one of the fastest declines in the world. It also notes pronounced wage disparity and poverty concentrated in a few regions.

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More on the News

  • The share of people below the Lower Middle-Income Country line ($4.20 a day) fell from 57.7% to 16.1%, lifting about 496 million people out of poverty.
  • The Bank expects poverty to keep falling, but more gradually: 14.2% in 2026 and 12.1% by 2028 at the $4.20 line.
  • The estimates rest on the three most recent household consumption surveys (2011-12, 2022-23 and 2023-24).
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What do the numbers show?

Poverty line (2021 PPP)Population below it, 2011Population below it, 2023People below it, 2023
$3.00 a day (extreme poverty)27.1%2.6%about 7.5 crore
$4.20 a day (lower middle-income)57.7%16.1%about 34 crore
$8.30 a day (upper middle-income)over 90%80%about 115 crore
  • Halving in a year: Extreme poverty was 5.3% in 2022-23, so it roughly halved in one year.
  • Inequality: The Gini index was 23.0 in 2023, against 28.8 in 2011-12 and 25.5 in 2022-23. The Bank cautions that surveys may miss the consumption of richer households and understate inequality.
  • Urban and rural: The $4.20 poverty rate is 8.6% in urban areas and 19.3% in rural areas.
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Note: India is a lower middle-income country, so the $4.20 line is the relevant benchmark and the $8.30 figure is higher.
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What explains the fall?

  • Consumption growth: Strong growth in household consumption.
  • More jobs: Employment rose by about 134 million between 2017 and 2023, nearly twice the growth of the working-age population, driven by rural women entering paid work.
  • Social transfers: Expanded transfers, including food subsidies.
  • Non-monetary poverty: The Multidimensional Poverty Index (OPHI) fell from 53.8% (2005-06) to 16.4% (2019-21), and the World Bank’s MPI measure is 15.5% (2022-23).
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What are the concerns?

  • Wage gap: The median earnings of the top 10% of workers are about 13 times those of the bottom 10%.
  • Geographic concentration: About 57% of India’s poor live in a belt from Uttar Pradesh to West Bengal.
  • Youth unemployment: It rose from 14.6% to 15.9% between the first quarters of 2025-26 and 2026-27, especially among rural young women.
  • Low-quality jobs: Real earnings are broadly flat, and job growth is in low-productivity activities.
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How is poverty measured in India?

  • No official line: India has had no official poverty line since the Tendulkar Committee (2011-12) line, so it relies on the World Bank’s lines and NITI Aayog’s National MPI.
  • NITI Aayog’s MPI: Multidimensional poverty fell from 29.17% (2013-14) to 11.28% (2022-23), with about 24.8 crore people moving out.
  • Data caution: The 2022-23 consumption survey changed its methods, so it is not fully comparable with 2011-12.
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Challenges

  • Regional concentration: Further gains depend on productive jobs in the Uttar Pradesh to West Bengal belt.
  • Job quality: Flat real wages and rising youth unemployment weaken the gains.
  • Data gaps: Surveys are far apart, and the methods have changed.
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Prelims Pointers

  • World Bank poverty lines (June 2025): $3.00 (extreme poverty), $4.20 (lower middle-income) and $8.30 (upper middle-income) a day at 2021 PPP, replacing $2.15, $3.65 and $6.85 at 2017 PPP.
  • Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): The exchange rate that removes price-level differences between countries.
  • Poverty and Equity Briefs: The Bank issues them twice a year, ahead of its Spring and Annual Meetings.
  • Gini index: Ranges from 0 to 100, and a higher number means greater inequality.
  • MPI: A global index by OPHI and UNDP that measures health, education and standard of living. India’s National MPI has added indicators on maternal health and bank accounts.
  • Consumption survey: The Household Consumption Expenditure Survey, run by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation.
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Way Forward

Jobs
Productive employment in labour-intensive manufacturing, services and the rural non-farm sector, with skilling.
Wages and work
Higher real wages and women’s participation in work.
Data
Regular, comparable consumption data and an updated national poverty measure.
Protection
Targeted social protection for the poorest regions.
Conclusion: India has cut extreme poverty sharply, but the remaining poverty is concentrated in a few regions and tied to low-quality jobs. Better jobs and wages in those regions will decide the next phase.
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Source: The Hindu & The Indian Express

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