Engagement with the Taliban

Syllabus: India and its neighbourhood- relations

India-Taliban Relations

  • Taliban Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi visited India in October.
  • India decided to upgrade the technical mission in Kabul to a full embassy, resume stalled infrastructure and welfare projects.
  • Muttaqi assured the Taliban won’t allow any group to use Afghanistan’s territory against others, ensuring security.

India’s Objectives

  • Protect $3 billion investments (2001-2021) in Afghanistan and build on goodwill earned during the period.
  • Ensure Afghan soil is not used by anti-India militants, unlike the 1990s, to prevent security threats.
  • Prevent the Taliban from becoming an external arm of Pakistan’s establishment, avoiding regional strategic depth for Pakistan.

Issues with the Engagement

  • Recognition Risks
    • Taliban has not fundamentally changed ideologically or programmatically since the 1990s despite claims of moderation.
    • Only regime barring girls from attending school beyond the primary level, enforced strict segregation, and banned women from workplaces.
    • The economy contracted by one-third and 22.9 million Afghans (~half the population) require humanitarian assistance this year.
  • Security Concerns
    • UN report: Taliban allowed al-Qaeda to consolidate through safe houses, training camps across Afghanistan.
    • Taliban remain “the primary partner of all foreign terrorist groups” including al-Qaeda, Pakistani Taliban, Jaish-e-Mohammad, and Lashkar-e-Taiba.

India’s Approach

  • Wait-and-watch approach recommended given the Taliban’s uncertain consolidation and economic collapse situation.
  • Taliban need India’s assistance more than India needs Taliban, given hostile Pakistan and, collapsing economy.
  • Engage the regime bilaterally and through regional/international mechanisms, urging respect for fundamental freedoms of Afghans.
  • Afghanistan’s stability depends on economic recovery, political inclusion, and regional integration, not the Taliban’s guns ultimately.

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